Parameter elimination in particle Gibbs sampling

Dez 10, 2019

Sprecher:innen

Über

Bayesian inference in state-space models is challenging due to high-dimensional state trajectories. A viable approach is particle Markov chain Monte Carlo (PMCMC), combining MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo to form exact approximations'' to otherwise-intractable MCMC methods. The performance of the approximation is limited to that of the exact method. We focus on particle Gibbs (PG) and particle Gibbs with ancestor sampling (PGAS), improving their performance beyond that of the ideal Gibbs sampler (which they approximate) by marginalizing out one or more parameters. This is possible when the parameter(s) has a conjugate prior relationship with the complete data likelihood. Marginalization yields a non-Markov model for inference, but we show that, in contrast to the general case, the methods still scale linearly in time. While marginalization can be cumbersome to implement, recent advances in probabilistic programming have enabled its automation. We demonstrate how the marginalized methods are viable as efficient inference backends in probabilistic programming, and demonstrate with examples in ecology and epidemiology.

Organisator

Kategorien

Über NIPS 2019

Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS) is a multi-track machine learning and computational neuroscience conference that includes invited talks, demonstrations, symposia and oral and poster presentations of refereed papers. Following the conference, there are workshops which provide a less formal setting.

Präsentation speichern

Soll diese Präsentation für 1000 Jahre gespeichert werden?

Wie speichern wir Präsentationen?

Ewigspeicher-Fortschrittswert: 0 = 0.0%

Freigeben

Empfohlene Videos

Präsentationen, deren Thema, Kategorie oder Sprecher:in ähnlich sind

Interessiert an Vorträgen wie diesem? NIPS 2019 folgen