Meta-Adaptive Stock Movement Prediction with Two-Stage Representation Learning

Dec 2, 2022

Speakers

About

Stock movement prediction has always been a tough but attractive task for researchers in machine learning and data mining. Generally speaking, two challenges for stock time series prediction remain not well-explored. One is the overfitting of deep learning models due to the data shortage and the other one is the potential domain shift that may happen during the evolution of stock time series. In this paper, we present Meta-Adaptive Stock movement prediction with two-StagE Representation learning (MASSER), a novel framework for stock movement prediction based on self-supervised learning and meta-learning. Specifically, we first build up a two-stage representation learning framework, the first-stage representation learning aims for unified embedding learning for the data. And the second-stage learning, which is based on the first stage, is used for temporal domain shift detection via self-supervised learning. Then, we formalize the problem of stock movement prediction into a standard meta-learning setting. Inspired by importance sampling, we estimate sampling probability for tasks to balance the domain discrepancy caused by evolving temporal domains. Extensive experiment results on two open source datasets show that our framework with two simple but classical architectures (GRU and ResNet) as model achieves improvements of 5% - 9.5% on average accuracy, compared to state-of-the-art baselines.

Organizer

Store presentation

Should this presentation be stored for 1000 years?

How do we store presentations

Total of 0 viewers voted for saving the presentation to eternal vault which is 0.0%

Sharing

Recommended Videos

Presentations on similar topic, category or speaker

Interested in talks like this? Follow NeurIPS 2022