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  • title: Calibration of Large Neural Weather Models
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            Calibration of Large Neural Weather Models
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            Calibration of Large Neural Weather Models

            Dec 2, 2022

            Speakers

            AG

            Andre Graubner

            Speaker · 0 followers

            KA

            Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

            Speaker · 3 followers

            JP

            Jaideep Pathak

            Speaker · 0 followers

            About

            Uncertainty quantification of weather forecasts is a necessity for reliably planning for and responding to extreme weather events in a warming world. This motivates the need for well-calibrated ensembles in probabilistic weather forecasting. We present initial results for the calibration of large-scale deep neural weather models for data-driven probabilistic weather forecasting. By explicitly accounting for uncertainties about the forecast's initial condition and model parameters, we generate en…

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            NeurIPS 2022

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