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            The Neural Testbed: Evaluating Joint Predictions
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            The Neural Testbed: Evaluating Joint Predictions

            Nov 28, 2022

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            Predictive distributions quantify uncertainties ignored by point estimates. This paper introduces The Neural Testbed: an open source benchmark for controlled and principled evaluation of agents that generate such predictions. Crucially, the testbed assesses agents not only on the quality of their marginal predictions per input, but also on their joint predictions across many inputs. We evaluate a range of agents using a simple neural network data generating process.Our results indicate that some…

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