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Dec 2, 2022
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In driving scenarios with poor visibility or occlusions, it is important that the autonomous vehicle would take into account all the uncertainties when making driving decisions, including choice of a safe speed. The grid-based perception outputs such as occupancy grids and object-based outputs such as lists of detected objects must then be accompanied with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. We highlight limitations in the state-of-the-art and propose a more complete set of uncertainties to be reported, particularly including undetected-object-ahead probabilities. We suggest a novel way to get these probabilistic outputs from bird’s-eye-view probabilistic semantic segmentation, in the example of the FIERY model. We demonstrate that the obtained probabilities are not calibrated out-of-the-box and propose methods to achieve well-calibrated uncertainties.In driving scenarios with poor visibility or occlusions, it is important that the autonomous vehicle would take into account all the uncertainties when making driving decisions, including choice of a safe speed. The grid-based perception outputs such as occupancy grids and object-based outputs such as lists of detected objects must then be accompanied with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. We highlight limitations in the state-of-the-art and propose a more complete set of uncertainties to b…
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