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  • title: Efficient Bayesian Learning Curve Extrapolation using Prior-Data Fitted Networks
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            Efficient Bayesian Learning Curve Extrapolation using Prior-Data Fitted Networks
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            Efficient Bayesian Learning Curve Extrapolation using Prior-Data Fitted Networks

            Dec 2, 2022

            Speakers

            SA

            Steven Adriaensen

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            HR

            Herilalaina Rakotoarison

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            SM

            Samuel Müller

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            About

            Learning curve extrapolation aims to predict model performance in later epochs of a machine learning training, based on the performance in the first k epochs. In this work, we argue that, while the varying difficulty of extrapolating learning curves warrants a Bayesian approach, existing methods are (i) overly restrictive, and/or (ii) computationally expensive. We describe the first application of prior-data fitted neural networks (PFNs) in this context. PFNs use a transformer, pre-trained on da…

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            NeurIPS 2022

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